Forecasting Alpine snow amounts for the safety of people, infrastructure and transport
The project will develop a system to provide an automated probabilistic forecast of (new) snow depth in the central Alps to support decision-making by avalanche warning services and authorities for keeping people safe and traffic flowing as smoothly as possible. Look-ahead times are from 12 hours for tactical planning to one week for strategical planning. Advanced statistical models will be developed from long time series of measurements and forecasts from Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models to forecast snow at measurement locations and – in conjunction with Digital Elevation Model (DEM) data – also at arbitrary locations in the forecasting domain.
Project identification number: TRP~290-N26
Zeileis Achim - Project Leader (Department of Statistics, University of Innsbruck)